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Being able to draw probability conclusions from data is important. This data has a great deal of information.
For example, on the table titled “By Economic Status and Sex,” looking at the total male population exposed to risk, there were 857 males. Looking at the same table, 688 of those males died. The proportion of males exposed to risk that died is 688/857=0.80. Thus, among the males exposed to risk, there are 80 deaths per 100.
By the end of this discussion, you will have demonstrated your ability to:
- Analyze and interpret data
- Calculate probabilities given raw data
| By Economic Status and Sex | |||||||||
| Economic Status | Population Exposed to Risk | Number of Deaths | Deaths per 100 Exposed to Risk | ||||||
| Male | Female | Both | Male | Female | Both | Male | Female | Both | |
| I (high) II III (low) Unknown | 172 172 504 9 | 132 103 208 23 | 304 275 712 32 | 111 150 419 8 | 6 13 107 5 | 117 163 526 13 | 65 87 83 89 | 5 13 51 22 | 39 59 74 41 |
| Total | 857 | 466 | 1323 | 688 | 131 | 819 | 80 | 28 | 62 |
| By Economic Status and Age | |||||||||
| Economic Status | Population Exposed to Risk | Number of Deaths | Deaths per 100 Exposed to Risk | ||||||
| Adult | Child | Both | Adult | Child | Both | Adult | Child | Both | |
| I and II III (low) Unknown | 560 645 32 | 19 67 0 | 579 712 32 | 280 477 13 | 0 49 0 | 280 526 13 | 50 74 41 | 0 73 – | 48 74 41 |
| Total | 1237 | 86 | 1323 | 770 | 49 | 819 | 62 | 57 | 62 |
Refer to the data tables above and answer the following questions. Be sure to support your answers (e.g. provide probabilities, ratios, etc.).
- Is there a difference in the probability of death for males vs. females?
- Does age make a difference in the probability of death?
- What does the number of children in relation to the number of adults tell you about this population?
- Does economic status make a difference in the probability of death? Does your answer to this question differ depending on the subgroup you are looking at?
- What other questions would you like to ask about these data or this event in order to help you make a determination? Can you guess what event generated this data?
We seek well-reasoned hypotheses about the cause of the event based on the given data. With this in mind, please do not search the internet looking for the answer. Incorrect guesses based on sound, logical thinking will be graded favorably.
To complete this discussion:
Post a thorough response to each question listed above. Be sure to read your peers’ posts and respond to them, as well. To gain full credit for your work, you must post one substantive response and reply to a minimum of two other postings. I would also like you to respond to anyone who comments on your post.
Evaluation
This discussion will be graded using the discussion board rubric. Please review the attached rubric, prior to beginning your work to ensure your participation meets the criteria in place for this discussion.
