DATA ANALYSIS FOR BUSINESS

Assessment 2 – PORTFOLIO

This assessment is worth 70% of the total module marks.

Complete ALL FOUR PARTS of this assessment.

Your answers must be presented on this template document.  Your answers should be contained in the spaces provided.

PART 1: Presentation and Display of Survey Data

1 (a) Averages in the news

Find an example of a mainstream media report that includes the word “average” in the headline.

Provide the link to the article here:

   

Paste a screenshot of the headline and relevant parts of the report mentioning the average below:

 

Answer the following questions. If you cannot find an answer for a question, explain what effect this might have on the information in the article.

Which kind of average has been used?

 

What was the size of the sample used to find the average?

 

What is the source of the data? How was the data collected?

 

Do you think the average was chosen to give valid and reliable results, or to attract the most readers?

 


1 (b) Charts in the news

Find an example of what you consider to be a GOOD chart about the Covid-19 pandemic, and an example of a BAD one.

Include the charts on this page, together with links to the source.

For each chart, give THREE reasons why you consider it to be good or bad.

“GOOD” CHART
LINK
THREE REASONS YOU THINK IT IS “GOOD”   1.     2.     3.
“BAD” CHART
LINK
THREE REASONS YOU THINK IT IS “BAD”   1.     2.     3.

PART 2: Correlation and Regression

2 (a) Correlation and causation

Using examples, outline the differences between correlation and causation.

 

2 (b) Correlation and regression

For this part of your portfolio, you are required to find some data from Statista.com. a leading provider of market and consumer data. You should find some data broadly related to your degree title (Bsc Accounting and Finance)

For the correlation and regression analysis, you will need TWO columns of data so that you can have X and Y variables. You made need to download two different files and then combine them in Excel. You need two columns of the same length, with at least 10 pairs of (X, Y) data.

Write down the titles of the data file(s) you have chosen to use:

       

Write down which variable you have chosen as X and which as Y, and give a reason for your choice.

 

Use Excel to create a fully-formatted scatter chart of your data, showing the linear regression line, R-squared value, and the equation of the regression line. 

 

What is the value of the correlation coefficient for your chosen data? What does it mean?

 

Using the values in the regression equation, explain what your analysis shows.

 

Explain the concepts of interpolation, extrapolation, validity and reliability when using a regression model for forecasting.

INTERPOLATION:         EXTRAPOLATION:         VALIDITY:         RELIABILITY:    

PART 3: Index numbers and Percentages

3 (a) Excel functions and percentages

The table below shows selected price details for unleaded petrol and diesel published by the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy. (https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/weekly-road-fuel-prices)

 E
 Petrol price (pence/litre) Diesel price (pence/liter) Duty rate (pence/litre) VAT (% rate)
November 2018125.8 135.4 57.9520
November 2019125.3 130.1 57.9520
November 2020112.4 117.4 57.9520
November 2021146.9 150.1 57.9520

Using the example spreadsheet above, explain how the Excel VLOOKUP function can be used to find items in an Excel table.

 

The price of petrol and diesel includes fuel duty (levied at a flat rate of 57.95p per litre).  VAT at 20% is then charged on both the product price and the fuel duty. Complete columns C and D, and rows 6 and 7 in the table below, and give an explanation of your calculations:

 
1 Petrol price (pence/litre) Petrol Price before VAT (pence/litre) Petrol Price before duty and VAT (pence/litre) 
2November 2018125.8   
3November 2019125.3   
4November 2020112.4   
5November 2021146.9   
6% Change, 2018 to 2021   
7% Change, 2020 to 2021   
Explanation:

3 (b) Rebasing and Descriptive Statistics 

The table below shows the average price of petrol and diesel in November from 2012 to 2021.  Fill in all the missing values and give an explanation of your method.

Year Petrol Price (pence/litre)Petrol Price Index 2012=100Diesel Price (pence/litre)Diesel Price Index 2012=100
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021134.4   122.3 107.3   120.1 125.8 125.3 112.4 146.9100.0 96.7     85.3  141.1 137.7 127.2 110.3 117.4   135.4 130.1 117.4 150.1100.0         87.7
Explanation:

Use the information in the table above, together with any descriptive statistics you may calculate, to make FIVE relevant comments and/or comparisons about Petrol and Diesel prices since 2012.

1.     2.     3.     4.     5.

PART 4: Time Series Analysis

The table below shows information about visits to the UK by overseas residents, and visits abroad by UK residents. The data is also available as an Excel file on Blackboard.

 Number of visitors
to UK from overseas
Spending by overseas
visitors to UK
Number of UK
residents’ visits abroad
 Thousands£ MillionsThousands
Q2 201610138653321787
Q3 201610892823527548
Q4 20169900620017450
Q1 20178847507515934
Q2 201711012715323744
Q3 2017118991008828699
Q4 20179322608018865
Q1 20188547519416592
Q2 201810521693924646
Q3 201811536840129923
Q4 20189679597419409
Q1 20198332480518159
Q2 201910364689625760
Q3 201911864919330000
Q4 201910297755519167
Q1 20206994434413891
Q2 2020398218939
Q3 2020232210376191
Q4 202013866112806
Q1 2021195248774
Q2 20212773861000

Source: https://www.ons.gov.uk/

Select some of the data above and complete a time series analysis.

You do not need to analyse all of the data.

Clearly state and interpret all seasonal effects that you have calculated.

Use your model to make relevant predictions.


Use calculator or Excel (see your seminar on time series analysis).

Present your results on the next pages.

 


 

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